Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.364402 0.425713 0.494449 0.577277 0.674474 0.785029 0.920485
2024-12-22 0.268188 0.347873 0.447205 0.580417 0.754877 0.976263 1.279630
2024-12-29 0.220485 0.307227 0.423517 0.591420 0.828716 1.153718 1.635456
2025-01-05 0.181823 0.268374 0.391413 0.580003 0.863549 1.276830 1.930148
2025-01-12 0.154941 0.240311 0.367958 0.573990 0.900847 1.403768 2.244797
2025-01-19 0.136201 0.220792 0.353112 0.576818 0.949264 1.551001 2.609831
2025-01-26 0.126554 0.213703 0.355833 0.606681 1.043488 1.782076 3.145106
2025-02-02 0.117961 0.206835 0.357474 0.634140 1.136404 2.022414 3.731835
2025-02-09 0.109063 0.198026 0.354303 0.652156 1.214301 2.245974 4.321105
2025-02-16 0.099681 0.186965 0.345488 0.658260 1.270419 2.436365 4.875294
2025-02-23 0.090267 0.174535 0.332434 0.654264 1.306076 2.591757 5.382633
2025-03-02 0.080187 0.159502 0.312512 0.634002 1.306331 2.676760 5.757100
2025-03-09 0.075690 0.155093 0.313022 0.655613 1.396650 2.960344 6.606966
2025-03-16 0.069674 0.146860 0.304914 0.658396 1.448078 3.170674 7.332644
2025-03-23 0.065260 0.141368 0.301668 0.670938 1.522178 3.440034 8.236626
2025-03-30 0.059161 0.131456 0.287771 0.657937 1.536610 3.577046 8.848240
2025-04-06 0.054246 0.123542 0.277235 0.651090 1.564207 3.748093 9.571395
2025-04-13 0.050584 0.118018 0.271358 0.654311 1.616267 3.984772 10.500900
2025-04-20 0.049319 0.117917 0.277907 0.688318 1.749141 4.439638 12.082008
2025-04-27 0.047903 0.117274 0.283079 0.719595 1.879632 4.907748 13.781142
2025-05-04 0.045918 0.114986 0.283984 0.740118 1.985003 5.325861 15.413793
2025-05-11 0.043339 0.110890 0.279911 0.747072 2.054920 5.659033 16.859502
2025-05-18 0.040397 0.105510 0.271941 0.742520 2.092448 5.908333 18.099364